Understanding Scotland Economy Tracker - February 2025 Insights
Hear the first quarterly Understanding Scotland Economy Tracker insights from 2025 with reflections from Gary Gillespie and Kathryn Welch.
Past event: 24th February 2025
The latest results for the Understanding Scotland Economy Tracker, which tracks economic confidence and buying intentions over time, pose big questions for politicians and decision makers north and south of the border.
The latest findings from the data collected in the first week of February, reveal the economic outlook remains bleak:
62% of Scots say conditions have worsened over the past year
64% expect further deterioration in the next 12 months.
Healthcare remains the top priority for Scots, with concern rising by four percentage points to 50%, while the cost of living remains a pressing issue at 34%. At the same time, concern about the economy is resurging, increasing by four percentage points to 20%, up from a low of 16% in November 2024.
The audience heard reflections on the new data from Gary Gillespie, Chief Economist for the Scottish Government and Kathryn Welch, Interim Director, Culture Counts.
The event was kindly hosted by Phoenix Group.
Find out more about the research:
About the speakers:
Scott Edgar, Senior Research Manager, The Diffley Partnership
Scott joined the Diffley Partnership following previous roles in social research in the Electoral Commission and the Ministry of Housing, Communities and Local Government. Since joining the business he has managed a wide range of research projects including two of Diffley Partnership’s regular quarterly surveys in Understanding Scotland and Understanding Business.
Scott has significant expertise in statistical data analysis, research design, management of research projects and communication and has worked on several high profile and high impact projects. He has a degree in Political Research from the University of Strathclyde.
Gary Gillespie, Chief Economist, Scottish Government
Gary was appointed Director and Scottish Government Chief Economic Adviser in 2011. He joined the civil service in 2000 from the Fraser of Allander Institute (University of Strathclyde) where his research interests included Scottish economy, regional economic modelling and foreign direct investment.
Gary provides economic advice to the First Minister and Ministers across a range of strategic economic issues. He publishes regular assessments of the State of the Economy and analysis of key impacts (EU Exit, Covid, Supply chain disruption, inflation etc.) on changes in the Scottish and UK economies. He is a regular participant in economic discussion across Scotland, UK and internationally. He leads engagement on the Wellbeing Economy Government (WEGo) network which was instigated in 2018 and seeks to share best practice in delivering international change.
Gary was made an Honorary Professor at Glasgow Caledonian University in January 2011 and was appointed to the role of Visiting Professor at the University of Strathclyde in 2015. He was also appointed a Fellow of the Academy of Social Sciences in 2017.
Kathryn Welch, Interim Director, Culture Counts
Kathryn is Interim Director of Culture Counts, a network of arts, heritage, and creative industries organisations that works to promote, protect and demystify the culture sector in Scotland. She sits on the Scottish Government's Culture Fair Work Taskforce, and is regularly invited to represent the sector in Parliament, with funders, and in the media. Prior to this role, Kathryn led Creative Scotland's Culture Collective programme, and held senior positions with Creative Lives and Macrobert Arts Centre.
Understanding Scotland Economy Tracker - November 2024 Insights
Catch up with the latest insights from the Understanding Scotland Economy Tracker (USET) - a quarterly survey of over 2000 people in Scotland.
Past event: Monday 25 November 2024
The latest results for the Understanding Scotland Economy Tracker, which tracks economic confidence and buying intentions over time, suggest a growing lack of optimism over the last three months and pose big questions for Shona Robison ahead of the Scottish Budget.
Scott Edgar, Senior Research Manager of the Diffley Partnership presented the latest findings from data collected at the beginning of November, including:
More than 1 in 6 people (17%) report strained relationships at home because of money
1 in 6 Scots (16%) report an impact on their physical health due to worries about money
1 in 3 people (32%) report an impact on their mental health due to worries about money
Only 15% say that concerns about money matters have not affected them
3 out of 4 people (75%) believe the economy works primarily in the interests of wealthy people
We were delighted to be joined by Sebastian Burnside, Chief Economist at Natwest Group and Tejesh Mistry, Chief Executive at Voluntary Health Scotland. There was also a special guest reflection from Danny Dorling, the Halford Mackinder Professor of Geography at University of Oxford.
The event was kindly supported by The Royal Bank of Scotland.
Credit: Allan Lloyds, Live to Air
Find out more about the research:
About the Speakers:
Scott Edgar, Senior Research Manager, The Diffley Partnership
Scott joined the Diffley Partnership following previous roles in social research in the Electoral Commission and the Ministry of Housing, Communities and Local Government. Since joining the business he has managed a wide range of research projects including two of Diffley Partnership’s regular quarterly surveys in Understanding Scotland and Understanding Business.
Scott has significant expertise in statistical data analysis, research design, management of research projects and communication and has worked on several high profile and high impact projects. He has a degree in Political Research from the University of Strathclyde.
Sebastian Burnside, Chief Economist, Natwest Group
Sebastian joined the Royal Bank of Scotland in 2009 and has been Chief Economist for NatWest Group since 2018. His areas of interest include how society adapts to an ageing population; the economics of the climate transition; impact of technology and AI on jobs; the shift to defined contribution pension schemes and the microanalysis of customer transaction data.
Before joining RBS, Sebastian worked as an Economist for Ofcom and PwC. Sebastian holds degrees in Economics from a BSc in Economics from London School of Economics, and an MSc in Economics from The University of Edinburgh. Sebastian is Trustee Director of NatWest Group Retirement Savings Trustee Ltd.
Tejesh Mistry, Chief Executive Officer, Voluntary Health Scotland
Tejesh joined Voluntary Health Scotland as Chief Executive in March 2024. Tejesh has a wealth of experience, working as Director of External Affairs at Venture Trust for 4 years until August 2023; and was Interim Director for Voluntary Action South Lanarkshire (VASLan), a Third Sector Interface.
Tejesh previously held senior roles with the Royal Voluntary Service and with Cycling UK where he led behaviour change programmes to reduce loneliness and to improve physical and mental wellbeing. He was appointed to the Board of Sport Scotland in April 2022.
Danny Dorling, The Halford Mackinder Professor of Geography at University of Oxford
Danny Dorling joined the School of Geography and the Environment in September 2013 to take up the Halford Mackinder Professorship in Geography. He was previously a professor of Geography at the University of Sheffield. He has also worked in Newcastle, Bristol, Leeds and New Zealand, went to university in Newcastle upon Tyne, and to school in Oxford.
His work focuses on housing, health, employment, education and poverty. and his work concerns core issues affecting the economy: housing, health, employment, education, inequality and poverty.
Image credit: Sharing thumbnail image - photo by Allan Lloyds, Live to Air.
Understanding Scotland Economy Tracker - August 2024 Insights
Catch up with the discussion of our quarterly Understanding Scotland Economy Tracker survey. Hear the results and expert insights and reflections from our panel.
Past Event: Thursday 29th August 2024
We launched the latest findings from our regular survey, produced by the David Hume Institute and the Diffley Partnership, which helps us to track and understand changes in economic attitudes and public opinion over time.
Scott Edgar, Senior Research Manager of the Diffley Partnership presented the latest findings from the survey, the first to follow the General Election.
We were delighted to be joined by Manira Ahmad, Chief Officer at Public Health Scotland and Lesley Ann Gray, Kantar's Strategic Insight Director for Scotland's Food and Drink Industry who gave their reflections and insights.
The data was collected at the start of August, a month after the General Election, against a backdrop of economic insecurity, mounting concern about public expenditure and a wave of anti-migrant riots. You can read the full report here.
The event was kindly hosted by Brodies LLP.
Image credit: Sharing thumbnail image - photo by Allan Lloyds, Live to Air.